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Posts tagged ‘vijayakanth’

Thamizh Nadu state elections!


Predicting the winner in the state elections of Thamizh Nadu is easier than formulating the pattern of media behaviour and psephologists. But, believe you me, there is an undeniable pattern to their behaviour.
Psephologists:

They are a breed which surfaces every lustrum. Till then they keep providing ‘consultancy’, an amorphous rather a protean nomenclature which is fastened to any freelancing activity which takes advantage of knowledge and contacts for unimaginable gains. The gain is not for nothing, they monitor the trend of the voting masses. They ignore the non voting electorate and pitch on those who vote. Secondly they mingle to find out the aspirations of the voting types.

Aspirations being of two types, they do not inform that they segregate the economic aspirations from their social aspirations. Once this is segregated, they inform through various media that the whole electorate is after this or that SOCIAL ASPIRATION. This creates a bandwagon effect and coagulates further to the core the consultant created. Next he provides ‘consultation’ to a party to which he has been affiliated through ideology or remuneration. There he explains to the party think tank that there is a coagulating group which has aspirations for certain ECONOMIC ASPIRATIONS and unleashes it. That forms the manifesto of the party – a lure to hook the gullible voter.

Then there are those POSTULATES, which the clever ones formulate and propagate to the point of a cliche. E.g. ANTI-INCUMBENCY. – this is a standard piece of jargon which substitutes well when their predictions go wrong.

BANDWAGON EFFECT – this is one more jargon to the point of cliche, that it is a less sophisticated one and had been in use a lot longer than the previous one and probably heading towards retirement by the next lustrum!

MATHEMATICAL & STATISTICAL BS– when words fail, numbers are invoked to obfuscate facts. Facts are better countered by numbers than letters. If that fails, STATISTICS, which is alphanumeric is invoked, where they are sure that none would understand it and left wondering, as they believe that as they have not understood it, none can!

Psephologists are saprophytes, which live ON but not OFF!
These need the MEDIA.

Just as an army marches on its stomach, this one which used to live off the governmental newsprint and advertisement, lives ON ADVERTISEMENTS- the paid ones, not the governmental ones which are either statutory or bill based. The bill is a threat which a legislator could use against an interest group. The threat is that, the power of the day would make an Act, which might take the cream off, at one stroke.
The advertisers are companies mostly, who have a product or service, which are busy building a brand or staving off other companies from superseding their brand image. Therefore they fund movies which have greater viewership and cost more per telecast. They pay triple or quintuple the normal Advt charges and keep themselves afloat during the churning of the people who end up running the Govt. So  Psephologists start by making pre-election polls and purvey the desired results by going to those areas which would return their expectations. Since Psephologists are creating a voting group they start PROMOTING their affiliate party. They don’t care about their credibility, as even if one gets it dead right on the numbers, people believe that they got it by fluke; and if they got it wrong, they could slime out with their jargon or statistics. The flak that might follow would not be comparable with the benefits they could gain through being “friendly” with parties and the media. Each one is a playing referee, rather a referee who has punted in favour of one of the teams in which he is the main, rather spot referee!

TREND OF PSEPHOLOGISTS AND THE MEDIA:
The clever know that elections are Marathons in terms of Time. To be in the right side of the proverb WELL BEGUN IS HALF DONE, would be a Trojan blunder of mistaking an army for a wooden horse. The game begins in the last ten days, before the polling day.

But the media and the riding Psephologists start the game early as they are the payees and don’t lose anything, whereas the political parties, who are the payers, by starting early might become burn outs, like Dr. Ramadoss and co. But the media and Psephologists have already taken out the fat of  PMK.

Politicians decide only when a decision cannot be postponed any longer. So they wait to catch evolving trends, which they themselves could have triggered through deft deployment of the media and Psephologists. 
After the burn outs come the NAIVE ENTHUSIASTS SANS IDEOLOGY. A person like VAIKO is capable, a good man and meaning well, but his belligerence is misplaced. He lacks the organisational skills to build a platform, consequently he needs a Vijayakanth and the Communists to provide him the base, which gets crowded and he gets lost.

The long players are the ADMK oops! AIADMK, which is in the form of Dravidian vehicle manned sorry womanned by a Brahmin and a Brahminical sympathiser, and the DMK. AIADMK has a form with a different substance, she did not make it that way, when Thamihzans voted for the putative goodness of MGR, the electorate approved of such a content-form contradiction . The next is the DMK, which is a platform which is being usurped by Stalin shooting over the shoulders of Dr. MK. Stalin has the pedigree but not the mettle of his father. People of Thamizhnadu don’t even remember that he was a state minister – the better part is that even the ruling party doesn’t talk of the decisions or opportunities squandered by Stalin as a minister! 

But people know one thing that Dr. MK is being egged on by his family than out of any ambition to become CM once more. Maybe Dr. MK would want to see the back of Amma more than he wanting to become the CM.

Therefore the subliminal question nibbling at the thamizh brain is whether to Give one final chance to the saviour of the backward castes of TN or to extend the rule of a woman, who through her own making, has made herself a one woman army lumbering up and down the state. She believes that she is THE WINNER and wants to take all the credit for it, so it is not that there aren’t any second ring speakers but that she is loath to sharing credit with someone else. So no second rung leaders are empowered to campaign with gusto.  

In this election melee, the advertisers and Psephologists who had been purveying their aspirations disguised as news and science, would be groping in the darkness that they have created and in the last week before elections, would give a seesaw majority to AIADMK and leave it for fate to decide and start working on theories and hypotheses to defend how they missed the AIADMK landslide. 

That is called as the BALANCING THAMIZHAN OR IN THE WORDS OF MY NORTH INDIAN FRIENDS JELEBI!

DEMOCRACY in THAMIZHNADU!


What i love about Thamizhnadu is that there CAN BE no such thing called COLLUSION between the TREASURY BENCHES and the OPPOSITION. That is the only safeguard for DEMOCRACY. In the name of CO-OPERATION there are instances galore, where the Government of the day would make the opposition an accomplice to their doings. This could happen even if  the OPPOSITION itself feigns ignorance as to why it AYED a motion! The common man is never gonna know about the SETTLEMENT reached between the legislators on top. AND THE LAW PRESUMES THAT ANYTHING DONE BY THE GOVERNMENT IS DONE RIGHTLY- to rebut that one has to produce the proof to the contrary. And, the STANDARDS OF PROOF is so stiff that there is no possibility of proving the same. In Thamizh Nadu there can be no such collusion between  the TREASURY BENCHES and the OPPOSITION, as they are irreconcilably POLARIZED.

So the COMMON MAN  in Thamizhnadu has and will INTUITIVELY choose two LEADERS who COULD never ever collude with each other.

It is a sort of PREVENTIVE ACTION.

If POLITICS is the ART OF THE POSSIBLE, then as a responsible electorate certain possibilities are to be PREVENTED. That preclusion, is in the interest of DEMOCRACY.

Once both the leaders get elected and are on top and outside the earshot of the public, their collusive whispers should not give sleepless nights to the electorate, because of their LEGISLATION and decisions . The people of Thamizh Nadu are clever, but how this is achieved considering the vast number of voters, is still  a mystery to me.

I think there are certain FUNDAMENTALS to THAMIZH NADU politics.

ADI UDHAVIRA MADHIRI ANNAN THAMBI UDHAVA MAATAAN!

Roughly translated, it means NO BROTHER CAN HELP LIKE A SOUND HIDING! It means, to learn self-help techniques, the best way  is to get hit!! If someone has the patience one should go through the following 3 links of YOUTUBE, which show a 10% vote-catching party supremo in Thamizh Nadu, VIJAYAKANTH, beating the hell out of his own party candidate who dared to climb the ladder in his caravan to correct Vijayakanth who , while  introducing him to the local electorate, had called him by some other name. The TEMERITY shown by a candidate now (pre-election)- by daring to climb the ladder in the caravan- might result in CROSS VOTING, ACCEPTING FAVOURS FROM THE OTHER PARTIES, horse trading etc later. This bashing has a CATHARTIC EFFECT on the other candidates of his party more than the one who was at the receiving end. The second link shows VIJAYAKANTH  admitting before another crowd, that if at all he had beaten anyone, then he was his own party man and not somebody else’. SO MUCH FOR DISCIPLINING which is the norm in Thamizh Nadu politics. The HIERARCHIFICATION is BRUTAL and RELENTLESS.

Vijayakanth\’s bashing

I am reminded of an anecdote: Napoleon was on his horse and the place was windy and consequently wind blew his hat off. Down fell the hat and no officer was around. You see, the French are very snobbish about their dress and they don’t appreciate people below a certain rank  touching  those, so Napoleon the General calls out the soldier and says to him “CAPTAIN, FETCH MY HAT”. So  thereby the foot soldier got promoted. Napoleon promoted him to fetch his cap, but Vijayakanth humiliated him before giving him an opportunity to become a legislator. But in both the instances they received what they did not deserve!

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3YaGM57RX6A&feature=related

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vqaDGieIO1s&feature=related

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=88gtinB3YnM

The third LINK is for those who know English but do not know Thamizh.

So getting back to our DEMOCRACY, Thamizh people know that if you get the leader right, his FLOCK is sure to follow.

And Vijayakanth is not the only one who had done this or started this. There has been a story that a Leader summoned a person, who dared to get familiar with his girl (who is supposed to have been an actress then),  to his resting abode and splintered his back. The same leader is supposed to have summoned then an up and coming Hero and harassed him to that extent that hero went mad (or feigned madness)  for a while.

Another adage in Thamizh is : AYINDHIL VALAYADHADHU AIMBATHIL VALAYUMA? (what doesn’t bend at 5 will it bend at 50?) So i suppose the disciplining effect imparted on the juniors at a very early stage gets them to be more disciplined. They learn the hierarchical structure faster than the serfs who serve their Feudal LORDS.

Today (ALL FOOL’S DAY), DECCAN CHRONICLE has reported: Speaking at a meeting in Virudhunagar, Stalin said, “It is a common error on the part of party leaders to forget the names of their candidates, and normally people will rectify their mistake. But look at Captain, he started punching the poor young man who tried to correct him,”.

There is a saying in THAMIZH : AADU NANAIJIDHUNU OONAI AZHUDHUCHAAN (the wolf shed tears when the goat got drenched in the rains!). Stalin’s concern for the bashed seems more to keep up Stalin’s veneer of HUMANENESS, before the gullible men, women and kids!

Each is fishing for votes thru different means in Thamizh Nadu. BOMBAY MIRROR reports that Election Commission contended before the Madras High Court that cash was transported thru police vehicles! Does one call it an allegation when the Election Commission makes such statements before the High Court. And why did the defendant not ask for proof? – The TN Government knows that the Opposition in TN could not have done that, after all TN POLICE   falls within the jurisdiction of the CM who holds the Home portfolio! So why insist on proof and get one’s own name sullied? GOOD MOVE. And why did not the EC bring out the proof and display it for the world to see? That is even more intriguing!

http://mumbaimirror.com/index.aspx?Page=article&sectname=News%20-%20Nation&sectid=3&contentid=201103312011033103185485216c3566c

ALL THESE HUMAN RIGHTS VIOLATIONS MAY BE BAD FOR THE INDIVIDUALS, BUT IT WORKS WELL FOR THAMIZH DEMOCRACY!

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