Here Charitable Individualism is the key!… nothing less.

Archive for April, 2011

POST POLL ANALYSIS FOR THAMIZHNADU ASSEMBLY!


HEADLINES TODAY TV has come up with a post poll analysis of the assembly elections in THAMIZHNADU. EXIT POLLS have been banned by the ELECTION COMMISSION and therefore the Psephologists have invented a method, which according to the WEBSITE takes samples by visiting houses randomly and asking the persons who had voted what their choice was.

Headlines Today News

This method of visiting houses is the WORST METHODOLOGY, as, now that the voter’s identity had been established and his house located by the sampling agency, there is 100% chance that a person who had  taken gratification for voting in a particular way, but voted according to his opinion- which would be against the interest of the gratifier- would not disclose the TRUTH.  And believe you me, the voters of Thamizhnadu disguise their preferences better than any other state in India- plz recall the Assembly elections subsequent to the Parliamentary elections of 1980! MGR won immediately after losing the Parliamentary elections.

Any sensible person would be able to assume, as to which party must have gratified more! Further everyone knows which of the two sides is likely to infuse terror in the hearts of the person who had taken gratification, and not voted according to the illegal contract!

According to the site DMK gets 48% of the voteshare and AIADMK gets 47% of the voteshare. Translated into seats DMK is supposed to get 130 seats and AIADMK 105- 120 seats. Well, this seat projection based on the voteshare seems the second blunder the HEADLINES TODAY POLL suffers from. The margins are not important for winning a seat and in fact a huge margin in a few seats may increase the voteshare but not proportionately translate into seats.

There is a third FALLACY which is being floated: THIS HIGH TURN-OUT OF 82% voters is a PRO-INCUMBENCY WAVE. Seems very unlikely. When Late KAMARAJ  gave a clean, efficient and growth oriented administration in the mid sixties, the people of Thamizhnadu were fully aware that Kamaraj was doing all that because of the pressure kept up by ANNA, besides their animosity for the  puppeteering from Delhi! So the electorate went and executed the improbable in 1967. Kamaraj’s PADUTHUKKONDAY JAYIPPEN- was nothing but a vain boast of a Right man caught in the wrong CAMP. The surge in the percentage of polling was a silent RESENTMENT of the puppeteering plus a PRO WAVE in favour of C.N.ANNADURAI. If anyone is willing to let himself believe that a 10% surge in polling is to ensure that the DMK and its allies MUST BE RETURNED to power, i have my pity on him. (if AIADMK loses then the argument would be that there  was rampant rigging by the winner, and therefore the percentage of polling went up!!).

The 80% voting is , according to me, a surge by the people of Thamizhnadu to dislodge a party which gave the people a fraction of what it made itself! It is a vote of silent resentment. It is a vote for a change and most importantly to deprive a person, of  a successive term to prevent him from covering up the deeds of the last term!

Let us see, and FRIDAY the 13th of MAY might exorcise a lot more than all our speculation.

Advertisements

POWERS & PURPOSE


Any statute empowers an officer or a body of persons with a PURPOSE. But when the officer or the body of persons APPLY or USE the powers vested in them, to ascertain  whether  they are relevant  to the purpose or not is TYRANNY.

I’d like to give an example, for greater clarity to the aforesaid statement.

On the HIGHWAYS in Thamizhnadu, prior to the elections there were Election squads, Income Tax squads and even maverick state police squads which indiscriminately stopped all the cars passing through the highways and conducted a check. There were instances where a car would be stopped and just as the vehicle is about to stop, a cameraman would start rolling his camera. The passengers are asked, sometimes, to get off their cars and a thorough search is conducted. Then if nothing is found, they are told to leave , without even as much as an apology for the time lost and the inconvenience caused.

Once during my trip, i told the CRPF cop who stopped me, that he could search, if he could arrange for 2 independent witnesses and hand me a panchanama, after the search of my car. The cop called for the sub-inspector on duty and the sub-inspector asked me if i was an officer. I told him i was an Indian and he needs to know nothing more unless he compels me under some authority of law to divulge more. For reasons best known to him, the sub-inspector saluted me and politely told me, “Sir, sorry saar. We are under orders to use our powers to curb the flow of cash during elections.” I ain’t no Anna Hazare to give a crash course to the other passengers who were piling up with their cars behind me. With notions of my LIBERTY left intact by a wise officer, I left. Had he insisted, i’d have asked him the empowering statute and also walked back with a NIL panchanama and educated a whole lot of brother Indians during the course of the search, to be assertive about their RIGHTS.

Now getting back to our concept: the officer is well within his rights to curtail my LIBERTY, if he has reason to believe that i was in possession of unaccounted money, contraband etc.. He could conduct a search, but he should also furnish me with a statement of the proceedings as I have a RIGHT to be informed of the LAW under which my LIBERTY was curtailed.

The police would not be able to comply with all the procedures, as there would be a stampede and a deleterious law and order situation if vehicles were to be  be allowed to mount. And knowing the police, they would not have cyclostyled format of NIL PANCHANAMAs to hand over to the recalcitrant suspects, to hand over to them signed copies of the panchanama  immediately upon completion of the search of the vehicle. The police is more apt to tell the persons who want a panchanama, to wait and thereby detain them endlessly to fulfil a useless formality. Hence, most of the persons would choose to be wise and leave showing the boot and all of their respective cars.

So in the instant case, the POLICE officer stopped all the cars to DISCOVER persons who were carrying cash and thereby prevent them from using unfair means. But it was a  WHOLESALE suspicion which was let loose on umpteen individuals based on a SUSPICION. There was NO INTELLIGENCE or INFORMATION. Yet ignoring the INDIVIDUAL RIGHTS, the police without even following the PROCEDURES laid down by the Law had obstructed and defied the LIBERTY of the INDIVIDUALS.

In effect, the POWERS vested in a police officer by a STATUTE was used by him WITHOUT  ANY JUSTIFICATION  (no intelligence or information)  to curb the LIBERTY of many individuals merely to discover an odd person carrying cash and  then write a lengthy PANCHANAMA which says that “upon credible information etc. etc” post facto the discovery made through fishing expedition.

This whole sale  trampling of the Liberty  by the POLICE and individual waiver of RIGHTS by the Individuals have made India a very tolerant country with laws becoming unenforceable and feudalistic application of authority.

Thamizh Nadu Assembly elections!


If an Indian believes that it is the Parliament elctions which are important and not the ASSEMBLY Elections, then he  is greatly mistaken. To put it in perspective, ASSEMBLY ELECTION means, ELECTIONS for the Goverment authorized by the Constitution of India to Legislate on issues mentioned at List 2 and List 3 to the SEVENTH SCHEDULE to the Constitution. But somewhere in the JINGOISM propagated in the name of Nationalism, our Indian folks have been led to believe that the Assembly elections are not of much consequence.

True development of a State (which is the basic building block of the Nation) depends on the Policies formulated, implemented and relentlessly pursued by the State. Each State of India has inherent advantages as well as challenges, for example Kerala as a state has always had a slew of cash crops and copious rains have kept the state fertile, but the challenge is HOW TO MAKE THE PEOPLE OF KERALA  A PART OF THE WORKFORCE OF PRIVATE ENTERPRISE  and INITIATIVE? Let us contrast Kerala with Rajasthan which has severe shortage of rains and land which is uncultivable 9 months a year. In Rajasthan water is the scarecest and thereby CONSERVATION is in-built in their system. Kerala may fight for water with Thamizh Nadu, but the vegetation which one could see in Kerala gives one a feeling of the Amazon forest. That is Kerala. With 93% literacy and surrounded by plenty, the denizens of Kerala have built an “attitude” of SELF RESPECT. The first question which comes to the mind of a Keralite is WHY SHOULD I DO IT AND WHO BENEFITS MOST FROM ANY PROPOSED ACTIVITY. This leads to a lot of historical questions, like WHERE is he from? WHO is his father? WHAT is his caste? Is he a COMMUNIST? Does he believe in God? etc.. This preliminary screening by the literate leads to prejudoiced conclusions and hence their “attitube” could be downright NEGATIVE. KERALITES love their LAND, naturally as it is fertile and fetches cash even if one doesn’t do anything much with the land. A kind of lazy agrarian attitude.

Rajasthan people’s challenges makew them more hard working. One could find a certain eagerness to make things better for everyone. But the literacy levels are not comparable with Kerala. They keep their habits spartan, which is the beginning of CONSERVATION, which has finally led them to save money and identify hard working people and lend them money and in turn  get their returns.

Another typical state is Thamizh Nadu, where people are skilled and hard working, but their challenge is their attitude of being  ENTERPRISE AVERSE. They may start a hospital- if he is a physician /surgeon, but they would never ever build an ENTERPRISE without being skilled in that area. There may be business houses like TVS, AMALGAMATIONS GROUP which have huge market share in their line of business, but like ROME those were not BUILT IN A DAY. They have been sustained thru generations of relentless hardwork. As a people, Thamizhans do not want to take risks which COULD GO BAD. They contribute to the blossoming of the MANUFACTURING SECTOR, as they are assured of their INCOME from their skills and a regular life with enough time for family and entertainment. As a State having 69,000 temples, they are fatalistic in the outcome, buit rational in their social intercourse. 

So each State government has to build its own set of priorities  . And therefore ASSEMBLY elections are the backbone of the NATION. The issues wich are mentioned in LIST 1 of the VII Schedule are regulated, monitored by The Central Goverment, but no IMPETUS is provided the Central Government  with relation to the subject matters which fall in List 1. For example there are no melas for becoming research fellows or scientists in Space Technology, there are no advertisements for educating people on patents etc.. Persons of their own initiative reach those areas. A person who manufactures a central excisable product learns it by accident and starts paying Central Excise duty.  Such is SERVICE TAX etc etc. The Central Goverment does not have to educate people to enter into areas which fall within List 1. But the State subjects are opportunities which are propagated by the State and people in a state are educated therein. Therefore the State elections have a deeper impact on the day-to-day lives of its people.

With WELFARE STATE being given a different meaning by the political parties, even the freebies form a part of the governance. The Central government may grant loan waivers to farmers etc., but it is the State Government which gives TVs at 0 cost, rice at a rupee a liko, free noon meal  to kids at school etc. These actual deliveries which reach the population of a state are palpable. That is why we have the elections for a state which show that power is truly with the states when it comes to the development of the state.

The fight between the DMK Alliance and the AIDMK Alliance has reached a feverish pitch and the Election Commision is finding the goings on in the State of Thamizh Nadu curiouser and curiouser!

Tag Cloud